Tennessee
W-L: (45-15) PR = 96.9148Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 A BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 10- 0 206 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 9- 1 206 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 6- 1 207 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 6- 0 207 A Oregon B10 (42-13, 96.5) 2- 0 213 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 4- 1 213 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 11- 0 214 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 11- 0 214 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 8- 0 215 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 9- 1 220 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 5- 0 220 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 221 H Mercer SO ( 3-11, 86.0) 17- 0 222 A Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 9- 0 227 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 9- 1 227 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 4- 1 228 H Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 3- 1 228 H North Carolina Central MEAC ( 0-13, 84.9) 8- 0 301 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 6- 2 301 H App State SB (29-22, 92.7) 6- 2 303 H Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 1- 0 306 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 5- 0 307 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 11- 6 308 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 8- 5 310 H Austin Peay ASUN ( 0- 7, 87.4) 9- 1 313 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 1 314 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 315 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 4- 1 320 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 1 321 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 5 322 A Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 2- 3 324 H Tennessee Tech OV ( 0- 2, 85.0) 8- 0 327 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 4 328 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1-14 329 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 4- 3 402 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 3- 1 403 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 1- 5 404 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 4- 2 408 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 13- 5 411 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 5- 0 412 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 6- 0 413 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 10- 3 415 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 3- 6 421 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 1 425 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0-12 426 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 428 A St. Thomas-Minnesota SM (12- 7, 96.3) 4- 5 430 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 3- 4 501 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 2 502 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 3- 4 506 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 1- 4 515 H Northern Kentucky HL ( 0- 6, 88.0) 3- 1 516 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 7- 5 517 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 5- 1 521 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 1 522 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 1 528 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 6- 3 530 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 2- 1 601 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 2- 5 601 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 0- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 A BYU 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.25
206 H Rutgers 9- 1 8 4 + 3.79
206 H Liberty 6- 1 5 5 -0.29
207 H Boston College 6- 0 6 7 -1.25
207 A Oregon 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33
213 A Nebraska 4- 1 3 -3 ++ 5.51
213 A James Madison 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.56
214 H UCLA 11- 0 11 -2 +++ 12.89
214 H Florida Atlantic 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.00
215 A Florida State 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 9.30
220 H Missouri State 5- 0 5 7 -1.86
220 A UAB 6- 1 5 5 0.30
221 H Mercer 17- 0 17 12 + 2.39
222 A Southern Illinois 9- 0 9 7 1.90
227 H App State 9- 1 8 5 + 3.01
227 H Penn State 4- 1 3 3 0.30
228 H Penn State 3- 1 2 3 -0.70
228 H North Carolina Central 8- 0 8 13 -- -4.80
301 H App State 6- 2 4 5 -0.99
301 H App State 6- 2 4 5 -0.99
306 H LSU 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.37
307 H LSU 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.37
308 H LSU 8- 5 3 1 + 2.37
310 H Austin Peay 9- 1 8 10 - -2.21
313 A Mississippi State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.35
315 A Mississippi State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.35
320 A Florida 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52
321 A Florida 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.48
322 A Florida 2- 3 -1 -2 0.52
324 H Tennessee Tech 8- 0 8 13 -- -4.64
327 A Tulsa 1- 4 -3 4 --- -7.33
328 A Tulsa 1-14 -13 4 --- -17.33
329 H Ole Miss 4- 3 1 2 -1.36
402 H South Carolina 3- 1 2 3 -0.69
403 H South Carolina 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.69
404 H South Carolina 4- 2 2 3 -0.69
408 H Kennesaw State 13- 5 8 10 -1.67
411 A Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.56
412 A Kentucky 6- 0 6 2 + 3.56
413 A Kentucky 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.56
415 A Duke 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.56
421 H Radford 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.58
425 H Alabama 0-12 -12 -1 --- -10.52
426 A Texas Tech 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.93
428 A St. Thomas-Minnesota 4- 5 -1 0 -0.88
430 H Middle Tennessee 3- 4 -1 7 --- -8.41
501 A Missouri 4- 2 2 2 0.32
502 A Missouri 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.68
506 H Ole Miss 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.36
515 H Northern Kentucky 3- 1 2 10 --- -7.64
516 H Virginia 7- 5 2 3 -1.17
517 A Virginia 5- 1 4 2 + 2.32
521 H Georgia 3- 1 2 0 + 2.04
522 A Georgia 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52
528 A Texas 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.78
530 H Texas Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.58
601 H Texas 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.70
601 A Texas 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.22
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Tulsa 1- 4 -3 4 --- -7.33 328 A Tulsa 1-14 -13 4 --- -17.33 403 H South Carolina 1- 5 -4 3 --- -6.69 421 H Radford 2- 1 1 8 --- -6.58 425 H Alabama 0-12 -12 -1 --- -10.52 430 H Middle Tennessee 3- 4 -1 7 --- -8.41 515 H Northern Kentucky 3- 1 2 10 --- -7.64 228 H North Carolina Central 8- 0 8 13 -- -4.80 324 H Tennessee Tech 8- 0 8 13 -- -4.64 506 H Ole Miss 1- 4 -3 2 -- -5.36 310 H Austin Peay 9- 1 8 10 - -2.21 415 A Duke 3- 6 -3 0 - -2.56 502 A Missouri 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A James Madison 11- 0 11 3 +++ 7.56 214 H UCLA 11- 0 11 -2 +++ 12.89 215 A Florida State 9- 1 8 -1 +++ 9.30 205 A BYU 10- 0 10 5 ++ 5.25 213 A Nebraska 4- 1 3 -3 ++ 5.51 214 H Florida Atlantic 8- 0 8 3 ++ 5.00 306 H LSU 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.37 307 H LSU 11- 6 5 1 ++ 4.37 413 A Kentucky 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.56 528 A Texas 6- 3 3 -3 ++ 5.78 206 H Rutgers 9- 1 8 4 + 3.79 207 A Oregon 2- 0 2 0 + 2.33 221 H Mercer 17- 0 17 12 + 2.39 227 H App State 9- 1 8 5 + 3.01 308 H LSU 8- 5 3 1 + 2.37 313 A Mississippi State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.35 315 A Mississippi State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.35 320 A Florida 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52 411 A Kentucky 5- 0 5 2 + 2.56 412 A Kentucky 6- 0 6 2 + 3.56 517 A Virginia 5- 1 4 2 + 2.32 521 H Georgia 3- 1 2 0 + 2.04 522 A Georgia 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52 530 H Texas Tech 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.58 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A BYU (19-29, 91.4) 10- 0 -8.48 10.89 0.74 0.42 9.78
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 9- 1 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.42 10.23
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 6- 1 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.42 9.32
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 6- 0 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 0.42 7.68
3 A Oregon (42-13, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.40 15.97 0.74 0.42 14.04
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 4- 1 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.42 15.88
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 11- 0 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.42 10.87
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 11- 0 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.42 15.35
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 8- 0 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.42 11.25
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 9- 1 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.42 14.86
3 H Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 5- 0 -9.10 10.27 -0.74 0.42 8.00
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 6- 1 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.42 9.81
3 H Mercer ( 3-11, 86.0) 17- 0 -13.85 5.52 -0.74 0.42 4.01
3 A Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 9- 0 -10.83 8.54 0.74 0.42 7.80
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 9- 1 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.42 9.57
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 4- 1 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.42 11.50
3 H Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 3- 1 -4.94 14.43 -0.74 0.42 11.50
3 H North Carolina ( 0-13, 84.9) 8- 0 -15.04 4.33 -0.74 0.42 3.01
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 6- 2 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.42 9.57
3 H App State (29-22, 92.7) 6- 2 -7.23 12.14 -0.74 0.42 9.57
3 H Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 1- 0 -6.60 12.77 -0.74 0.42 10.11
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 5- 0 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.42 13.23
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 11- 6 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.42 13.23
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 8- 5 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.42 13.23
3 H Austin Peay ( 0- 7, 87.4) 9- 1 -12.45 6.92 -0.74 0.42 5.19
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 1 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 14.06
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 -0.55
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 14.06
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.42 15.04
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2- 5 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.42 -0.31
3 A Florida (51-13, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.42 -0.31
3 H Tennessee Tech ( 0- 2, 85.0) 8- 0 -14.88 4.49 -0.74 0.42 3.15
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 1- 4 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 -1.54
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 1-14 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 -1.54
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 4- 3 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.42 11.78
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 3- 1 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.42 11.51
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 1- 5 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.42 -1.19
3 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 4- 2 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.42 11.51
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 13- 5 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.42 5.64
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 5- 0 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.42 11.71
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 6- 0 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.42 11.71
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 10- 3 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.42 11.71
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 3- 6 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.42 -0.53
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 1 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.42 7.40
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0-12 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.42 -0.32
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 7 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.42 -0.02
3 A St. Thomas-Min (12- 7, 96.3) 4- 5 -3.61 15.76 0.74 0.42 -0.60
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 3- 4 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.42 -2.18
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 2 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.42 12.36
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 3- 4 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.42 -0.98
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 1- 4 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.42 -1.12
3 H Northern Kentu ( 0- 6, 88.0) 3- 1 -11.88 7.49 -0.74 0.42 5.67
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 7- 5 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.42 11.11
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 5- 1 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.42 12.35
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 1 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 13.80
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.42 15.04
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 6- 3 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.42 16.10
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 2- 1 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.42 15.10
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 2- 5 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.42 -0.35
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 0- 4 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.42 -0.04
------
477.83
|
winning pts = 489.4140 losing points = -11.5858
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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